更新时间:2021-08-24 17:12:33
方法论:
predictability measure: decorrelation time
Eulerian persistence & Lagrangian persistence
Variational echo tracking(确定流场)
Advection of radar reflectivity(平流方案)
降水的可预测性:
Scale-Dependence of predictability of precipitation
Decompose radar images according to scales using discrete-cosine-transforms and low-pass filter in the spectral domain
应用:
预测基于天气雷达, 结合模式预报和预报员的经验,可预测未来2、4、6、8小时的对流天气,无法提供0-2小时临近预报,置信度≥ 25%.